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Budget 2006-07 – an ode to health

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Published in The News International on June 30, 2006:

Flagging a 21.3% increase in the budgetary allocation for health as part of the unprecedented increase in the development expenditure in the fiscal budget of 2006-07, the recital of June 5, 2006 made a reference to health as being a provincial subject.

True that health is a provincial subject and true that the provinces – and now under the Local Government Ordinance of 2001, the Districts – have legal responsibility to deliver services. But then the federal government has constitutional prerogatives relating to health, which have important fiscal implications both at the provincial and district levels as well as within the overall ambit of federal programs in the health sector.

Evidently, increases in budgetary allocations are a sine-qua-non of improving health outcomes. But clearly not the only! As the most complex of the social sectors, health necessitates in tandem systems and financing restructuring, for which budgetary allocations can act as the key tool in addition to being the critical input. With this as a context, three questions have been addressed within the context of the recent increases in budgetary allocations for health.

The first question relates to whether improvements in health outcomes can be achieved with aggregate increases in budgetary allocation, per-se?

Utilization issues notwithstanding, the total public sector health expenditure was shown to double in the period 1991/92 to 1997/98 with a 100% increase over the last five years and a further 21.3% increase this year. Admirable indeed. However firstly, it is imperative for this to continue and with sharper increments so as to bridge the current disparities in health expenditures particularly with reference to regional comparisons. Secondly, While this is vital, it also needs to be emphasized that specific aspects of health systems development are a stronger determinant of health status achievement compared with total health expenditure; budgetary allocations should therefore be viewed and used as a tool with the realization that they can assist in enhancing the performance of the health system by transforming the management of individual facilities, the management structure of the staff and the institutional environment in terms of the capability to plan and deliver.

Thirdly, it is imperative to underscore the importance of fund utilization. Issues with fund release, their utilization and the resultant budgetary lapses are well recognized. And it is here that striking a balance between minimizing costs, controlling costs and using resources more efficiently and equitably – in other words, getting the best value for money, on the one hand, and increasing the pool of available resources, on the other, becomes important. Specific interventions such as the promotion of transparent financial administration, budgeting and cost controls and enhancing the capacity to overcome onerous financial management procedures, decentralizing decision-making and ensuring accountability are relevant. Though these efforts have been initialized under the umbrella of civil service and other reform measures, they need to be expanded to the public service context in order to comprehensively impact health – and indeed social service delivery.

Fourthly, budgetary increases should be viewed in the context of inflation and population growth and the real per-capita expenditure; with respect to allocations per-se, it is not just the aggregate increase but the ratios between the development and non-development budgets, allocations for prevention vs. cure and the balance between financing interventions for rural vs. the urban areas, which need to be taken into account. Trends have been comparatively favorable in relation to the ratio between development and non-development budgets at the federal level over the last 10 years but the provinces have shown a worrying trend with a major dominance of non-development budgets in the provinces – a gap which seems to have widened over the years. Prevention and cure disparities are evidenced in the successive Five Year Plans, where clinical services have consistently consumed more than 45% of the total health budget as well as in provincial budgets where more than 50% of the budgets are allocated for teaching hospitals. Along the same lines a balance between financing health in the rural vs. the urban areas should be an area of concerted focus not only for the conventional adage – seventy percent of Pakistan’s population lives in the rural areas – but also given that recent surveys have reported significant rural-urban disparities in key indictors. For example, the Under-5 Mortality Rate in the rural areas of Sindh has been reported at 117 compared to 68 in the urban areas and 55 per live births in the city of Karachi. Some of the aforementioned allocation discrepancies are within the provincial domain on which a contemporary commentary may be presumptuous given that recent data on these – pending the provincial budgets of 2006-07 – is not available and in any case these are provincial matters, indeed. However, the federal allocations can signal the importance of distributions in certain areas through its financial instruments such as the conditional grants or through certain policy measures, albeit with provincial buy in.

The second question relates to the federal and provincial roles and prerogatives and the manner in which these create impediments and opportunities particularly with reference to the fiscal interface?

Under the Constitution and the rules of business, which clearly defines roles and responsibilities, both of the provinces as well as the Federation in health, the Federal government is mandated with responsibilities for policy-making, legislation, coordination, resource distribution and acquiring foreign assistance whereas the provincial ministries have legal responsibility for delivery and management of health services; however provinces can also legislate in many areas under the Concurrent Legislative List. Within this framework, the Federal Legislative List opened avenues for the Federal Government to create institutes and hospitals on provincial territory and develop national programmes that are ‘integrated’ with the provincial health delivery systems.

Allocation decisions for the provincial health budgets are made by the provinces independently out of the provincial development budgets, which are financed by the federal government en-bloc through the National Finance Awards as unconditional federal grants. Provincial non-development budgets are, in theory, funded from provincial government revenues. During the SAP years, part of the recurrent budget was also made available by the federal government; however, this has since been largely discontinued. However, the Federal Government also supplements provincial development budgets through conditional or tight grants and in contrast to the former this enables the federal government to allocate resources in specific areas such as in the case of the federally-led public health programs.

However over the years, despite these stipulations being straightforward, overlapping services have created ambiguities between federal and provincial roles and responsibilities and administrative authority; these issues have been compounded by conflicts over sharing of resources and financial arrangements. Owing to these problems, the federal-provincial interface has become one of the overarching systems-level thorny issues in the health sector – a problem, somewhat ‘complicated’ further after the passage of the Local Government Act.

It is perceived that gaps in understanding provincial requirements and/or prerogatives create problems with budgetary allocations. These and other considerations also create issues with the implementation of federally-led public health programs in the provinces. At a provincial level, it is perceived that federal programmes do not clearly analyze their implications on overall recurring costs. Moreover there is a certain level of lack of ownership of federal public health programs at the provincial level; the recent reluctance on part of Punjab to sign up to the Maternal, Neonatal and Child Health Program along the lines of the centrally funded initiative is a case in point and highlights the need to use the budget as a financial instrument for enhancing provincial performance and stimulating innovation, even if it means radically reconfiguring some programs.

Now the third question of why the need for alternate modes of financing health when the budget is on the way to being increased?

It is important to recognize that this would be a strategic imperative. Pakistan currently principally uses three modes of financing health – taxation, out of pocket payments and donor contributions of which the latter is the least significant in terms of size. The total per-capita health expenditure in Pakistan is reported to be between Rs. 750 to 800; while no official figures exist, experts believe that 25% of this is contributed by the public sector and 75% through private out-of-pocket fee-based funding mechanism (Pak. Rs. 570). However, a number of considerations warrant that we revisit this paradigm for a number of reasons.

Firstly, taxation as a mode of financing health demands an extensive tax collection capacity and is possible largely in formal economies. In Pakistan, the informal sector of the economy is predominant and general taxation accounts for less than 20% of the GDP. In all likelihood, judging from the current trends, it is most likely that the volume of economic activity will increase and if the current growth is sustained and the population moves into the formal sector, the tax base and taxation capacity of the country will broaden; however, meanwhile, alongside efforts to reallocate existing tax resources for health other options will have to be considered.

The second major mode of financing health is out of pocket payments. The monthly household out-of-pocket expenditure on health has been reported at Rs. 358. This is equal to 5.2% of the total monthly household expenditure and translates into an annual per-capita health expenditure of Rs. 570 – clearly a significant burden for 23.9% of the Pakistani population which according to the recent poverty estimates lives below the poverty line. This highlights the need to mainstream social health insurance as a mode of financing health. In all fairness, budget statements such as “the government is using its resources to reduce difficulties for the deserving citizens” and “to provide non invasive Angiography, MRI and dialysis to deserving people free of cost at federal government hospital, latest machinery is being provided” are evidence of the commitment to strengthen safety nets for health service delivery for the disadvantaged; however, these will have to be carefully structured. Importantly within this context, the recently launched Social Protection Strategy needs to be revisited to broaden its scope on health given that the only area where it alludes to health is in the section on employees’ social insurance which is just one dimension and that too for the formally employed.
Social health insurance also necessitates feasible and pragmatic organizational management to boost pre-payment and build enabling mechanisms for the development of a large pool of fund for which a number of steps need to be taken. As a preliminary step, the budget could have signaled the importance of this through the creation of a Health Fund, which would have indicated the government’s commitment to providing per-capita cost-sharing in subsequently launched social health insurance arrangements; following this the feasibility of channeling Zakat funds and philanthropic grants into such a fund could have been explored.

The third source of health financing has been donor contributions; foreign aid as a percentage of total health sector allocation has officially ranged from 4-16% over the last several years. However, over the long term there should be a shift away from reliance on donor contributions given that they bring in their wake many challenges; for a start, donor contributions prioritize resource-allocations in specific programme-based areas rather than systems-strengthening interventions, which are the need of the day; undue reliance on donor resources can be detrimental to programme sustainability as donor support is generally dependent on political and general conditions prevalent geographically.

In the fourth place, changes in the public-private roles, which are interlinked with the broader changes in the macro-economy merit consideration; within this framework, it is crucial to develop health financing options which are alive to contemporary realties on the one hand and protect the interests of the disadvantaged to which the state is committed to provide health as a public good – as it should. The contribution of the private sector to health cannot be ignored if public and private expenditures on health as a percentage of GDP are taken into consideration. The government currently spends 0.8-0.7% of its GDP on health whereas the total expenditure can roughly be placed at 3.5% of the GDP. These considerations necessitate, exploring mixed arrangements for the delivery of health.

Above all it must be recognized that the health financing patterns are shaped by the macroeconomic environment not only because they can enable the allocation of more resources but also because they can reconfigure how financing patters are determined; the recent example of countries where economic booms have created opportunities for global employment practices thereby creating an environment where employers subscribed to health benefits is a case in point. It is hoped that as Pakistan economically prospers, such new options will become available. However the policy challenge then would then relate to how well these match against considerations of equity given that after all, health – at least some priority services – should be delivered by the State as a public good.

Moreover it is hoped that in years to come the social sector and options for strengthening delivery would be centre stage during the pre- and post-budget deliberations as it is only through an increase in the demand for these services that the State will be more responsive to the need for strengthening them.

The author is the founder and president of Heartfile and Pakistan’s Health Policy Think Tank. E mail: sania@heartfile.org

The Health Budget 2006 – the policy context

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Published in The News International on June 06, 2006:

Budget 2006 is just around the corner with an indication that there would, both, be aggregate as well as program-specific enhanced allocations for health. This raises the question of whether these can translate into improved health outcomes over the short term. Here it must be understood that the relationship of health indictors does not necessarily parallel the level of resource inputs particularly if considerations relating to the utilization of funds and a reconfiguration of the health system are not brought to bear. Within this context, three questions emerge: how should we interpret and analyze the current allocations – per se; do we need to focus on how budgets can be utilized better and do we need alternate modes of health financing, and if so, why?

Firstly, interpreting the ballpark figures:  the Government of Pakistan has been spending 0.6 to 1.19% of its GDP and 5.1 to 11.6% of its development expenditure on health over the last 10 years. However, these figures reflect spending by the Ministry of Health and the departments of health and do not take into account other public sector health services, and the private sector; if these are taken into account, the total expenditure can roughly be placed at 3.5% of the GDP. Utilization issues notwithstanding, the total public sector health expenditure was shown to double in the period 1991/92 to 1997/98 with a 100% increase over the last five years and a probable increase this time round. However, budgetary increases should be viewed in the context of inflation and population growth and the real per-capita expenditure. Enhanced allocations must also favorably impact the ratio between development and non-development budgets. A comparison of the 2003/04 and 2004/05 federal and provincial development and non-development budgets shows a major dominance of non-development budget in the provinces. This gap appears to have widened over the last 10 years whereas at the federal level, trends have been comparatively favorable. Budgetary allocations for health must also factor a favorable ratio between prevention and tertiary care allocations; within this context, a comparison of the primary healthcare budgets with clinical health programme budgets in successive Five-Year Plans shows that clinical services have consistently consumed more than 45% of the total health budget. Along the same lines a balance between financing health in the rural vs. the urban areas should be an area of concerted focus not only for the conventional adage – seventy percent of Pakistan’s population lives in the rural areas – but also given that recent surveys in 2005 have reported significant rural-urban disparities in key health indictors. For example, the Under-5 (years of age) Mortality Rate in the rural areas of Sindh has been reported at 117 compared to 68 in the urban areas and 55 per live births in the city of Karachi.

The second question relates to why we need to focus on the utilization of budgetary allocations. This is simply because issues with fund release, their utilization and the resultant budgetary lapses are well known. And it is here that striking a balance between minimizing costs, controlling costs and using resources more efficiently and equitably – in other words, getting the best value for the money, on the one hand, and increasing the pool of available resources, on the other, becomes important. Specific interventions such as the promotion of transparent financial administration, budgeting and cost controls and enhancing the capacity to overcome onerous financial management procedures and decentralizing decision-making become important. There is also the need for greater financial procedural clarity at the federal-provincial district interface.

The third question relates to why there is a need for alternate modes of financing health when the budget is on the way to being increased? It is important to understand why this is so. Pakistan currently principally uses three modes of financing health – taxation, out of pocket payments and donor contributions. However, ground realties warrant that we revisit this paradigm for a number of reasons. Taxation as a mode of financing health demands an extensive tax collection capacity and is possible largely in formal economies whereas in Pakistan the informal sector of the economy is predominant. It is likely that as the volume of economic activity increases and if the current growth is sustained the population will move into the formal sector and the tax base and taxation capacity of the country will broaden; however meanwhile, alongside efforts to reallocate existing tax resources for health other options will have to be considered.

The second major mode of financing health is out of pocket payments. The total per-capita health expenditure in Pakistan is reported to be between Rs. 750 to 800; while no official figures exist, experts believe that 25% of this is contributed by the public sector and 75% through private out-of-pocket fee-based funding mechanism (Rs. 570). The monthly household out-of-pocket expenditure on health has been reported at Rs. 358 in Pakistan. This is equal to 5.2% of the total monthly household expenditure and translates into an annual per-capita health expenditure of Rs. 570; this is clearly a significant burden for a sizable chunk of the Pakistani population which lives below the poverty line. Cleary this highlights the need for mainstreaming social health insurance as a mode of financing health; within this context, the recent Social Protection Strategy needs to be revisited to broaden its scope on health given that the only area where it alludes to health is in the section on employees social insurance which is just one dimension and that too for the formally employed.

The third source of financing health has been donor contributions; foreign aid as a percentage of total health sector allocation has officially ranged from 4-16% over the last several years. However, over the long term there should be a shift away from reliance on donor contributions given that they bring in their wake many challenges; for a start, donor contributions prioritize resource-allocations in specific programme-based areas rather than systems-strengthening interventions, which are the need of the day; undue reliance on donor resources can also be detrimental to programme sustainability given that donor support is generally dependent on political and general conditions prevalent geographically.

Given these considerations alternate sources of financing health are now a strategic imperative; there are many already many existing sources within Pakistan which need to be further built upon. For instance we know that the employees social insurance which currently secures 3.06% of the workforce can be broadened; philanthropy through Zakaat and Bait ul mal, which has contributed less than 3% to public contributions in health, can be mainstreamed by structuring a conducive tax configuration and that corporate support can be mobilized within the framework of corporate social responsibility, albeit with safeguards.

Above all it must be recognized that the health financing patterns are shaped by the macroeconomic environment not only because they can enable the allocation of more resources but also because they can reconfigure how financing patterns are determined; the recent example of countries where economic booms have created opportunities for global employment practices thereby creating an environment where employers subscribed to health benefits is a case in point. It is hoped that as Pakistan economically prospers, such new options will become available. However, the policy challenge then would then relate to how well these match against considerations of equity given that after all, health – at least priority services – should be delivered by the State as a public good.

The author is the founder and president of Heartfile and Pakistan’s Health Policy Think Tank. E mail: sania@heartfile.org